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Title Revisiting the Promotion Effectiveness Measurement in Retail
Authors Nelson Baloian, Jonathan Frez, Cristóbal Fuenzalida, Belisario Panay, Sergio Peñafiel, José A. Pino, Horacio Sanson
Publication date 2020
Abstract Retail store managers need to measure the effect of
promotions
have
in terms of the number of people visiting a store and sales in order to make
decisions for an efficient use of resources. The state or the art approach
to this problem is the authors propose to measure the effects of a promotion
is to develop a
predictor for the number of people entering the store, in conditions of
absence of
any promotion campaigns and then compare the output against actual data and
measure the difference. This approach shows some drawbacks because stores
have permanently some kind of promotion running, which makes the training of
a model with the required data almost impossible. This work proposes to use
a
different methodology to the one mentioned above which is based on first
identifying periods of time with abnormal behavior and then examining back
to check
the promotions being applied during that time. For this purpose, we first
developed an accurate predictor and then we compute a function which will
compare
the difference of the predicted value with the real value, against the same
indicator but for the whole set of retail stores which are considered to be
of the same
market type. This work presents the results obtained and examples of how can
this be used to compare a store behavior compared to the rest of the market
in
order to search for singularities.
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Pages 76-85
Conference name Online Workshop on Collaborative Technologies and Data Science in Smart City Applications
Publisher Logos Verlag (Berlin, Germany)
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